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Building an F1 prediction engine – Feature Engineering Part III ?>

Building an F1 prediction engine – Feature Engineering Part III

After creating all features, it is quickly evident that there are a lot of missing data. Missing data should be dealt with before going on to the next phases of our model building. In this post, I’m going to quickly describe the reasons behind the missing values and ways to treat them.

United States GP 2017 ?>

United States GP 2017

Ferrari and Sebastian Vettel are still trying to recover from the past three nightmare race weekends and F1 is heading to the Circuit Of The Americas (COTA) in Austin, Texas. Pierre Gasly will be substituted with Kvyat who will partner with Brendon Hartley since Sainz is taking the Palmer’s race seat in Renault.

Japanese GP 2017 ?>

Japanese GP 2017

Just five races remain till the championship ends and next up is the Japanese GP in Suzuka circuit. Vettel and Scuderia Ferrari desperately need the victory here if they want to have a chance at the driver’s title. The two title contenders are expected to start and finish in the first two positions, with Hamilton first and Vettel second.

Malaysian GP 2017 ?>

Malaysian GP 2017

Following on of the most unpredictable Grand Prix in 2017, F1 is heading to Malaysia for the last Grand Prix in that circuit for the foreseeable future. What a shame! This circuit and the usually rainy conditions produced some of the most exciting races in the past 19 years. Friday practice sessions showed that Mercedes might suffer here but the model still thinks Hamilton is the favourite for the pole position.

Singapore GP 2017 ?>

Singapore GP 2017

F1 is leaving Europe and is heading to Singapore for a Grand Prix that is expected to help the Ferraris. Red Bull will also be strong and it will sure be a 3-team race. It’s difficult to predict how the top-6 drivers will start and finish the race but the model thinks it will be a classic Mercedes-Ferraris-Red Bulls occupying each of the first three rows respectively.

Italian GP 2017 ?>

Italian GP 2017

After a very close battle between Hamilton and Vettel in Spa, F1 is heading to the temple of speed, Monza. The stronger power unit of Mercedes will play a big role here and we may end up seeing the lap record of Juan Pablo Montoya from 2004 being broken.

Belgian GP 2017 ?>

Belgian GP 2017

After a probably too long summer break, F1 returns to Spa circuit in Belgium. The championship leader is expected to take the pole position with the two Mercedes of Hamilton and Bottas following. The Spa-master, Kimi Raikkonen, is predicted to start 4th, however it could be a chance for him to get the pole. Sebastian and Lewis almost have 50-50 chances of winning the race.

Hungarian GP 2017 ?>

Hungarian GP 2017

Before the summer break, F1 heads to Budapest for the Hungarian GP. It’s a very twisty track where passing another car is notoriously difficult. The top-4 teams are expected to occupy the first four rows with just one team per row, namely Mercedes, Ferrari, Red Bull and Force India. Bottas is predicted to start ahead of Hamilton although the latter has 5 pole positions in this circuit; the most of any current driver. It’s remarkable how little the order changes…

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British GP 2017 ?>

British GP 2017

After a race to forget for Lewis, F1 returns to Silverstone. Hamilton triumphed there last year in tricky conditions and I expect him to do the same this year; at least in qualifying. Bottas is expected to close a Mercedes 1-2 while the usual suspects (Vettel, Ricciardo, Kimi and Max) will follow in the next positions. It’ll be interesting to see if Stroll’s momentum carries on. Race predictions have been updated after the qualifying.