French GP 2019 ?>

French GP 2019

The Canadian GP was the first time this season where a Ferrari crossed the line ahead of both Mercedes. Still, it was Lewis Hamilton who won the race after a controversial penalty on Vettel. In any case, Ferrari were competitive for once and will try to replicate their performance in
Paul Ricard circuit this Sunday. Will they make it? I’m not that convinced.

The model gives Hamilton a 59% chance of qualifying ahead of Bottas and a 69.5% of Lewis finishing ahead of Vettel in the race. Of course, the model never learned that Vettel was ahead of Hamilton for the majority of the previous race because the model only looks at the end result. Apart from that, it will be worth looking at the performance gain Red Bull will make after Honda’s engine upgrade.

Kvyat has received a grid penalty for engine change and will start at the back of the grid.

Driver Qualifying Prediction Actual Qualifying Result Race Prediction Actual Race Result
Hamilton 1 1 1 1
Bottas 2 2 2 2
Leclerc 4 3 3 3
Verstappen 5 4 4 4
Vettel 3 7 5 5
Sainz 13 6 6 6
Raikkonen 11 12 10 7
Hulkenberg 8 13 12 8
Norris 14 5 7 9
Gasly 6 9 9 10
Ricciardo 7 8 8 11
Perez 10 14 13 12
Stroll 17 17 16 13
Kvyat 12 20 17 14
Albon 15 11 14 15
Giovinazzi 18 10 11 16
Magnussen 9 15 15 17
Kubica 20 19 20 18
Russell 19 18 19 19
Grosjean 16 16 18 20
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