Belgian GP 2023

Belgian GP 2023

Red Bull managed to break a record holding since 1988 when Ayrton Senna and Alain Prost got 11 consecutive wins with McLaren. Red Bull now has 12 consecutive wins (10 of them taken by Max Verstappen) and show no signs of stopping unless something unusual happens. Although Hamilton took the pole in the last race, Max was able to finish the race more than half a minute ahead of everyone else. If Perez can recover and score some wins and podiums, this record could be extended and may need several decades before it can be broken again.

The model predicts something that has become ‘normal’ during the past few races. Perez will mess up qualifying and start 10th but he will recover and take the 2nd place in the podium. On the other hand, the recent form of McLaren has not been clearly captured yet. I expect Norris and Piastri to fight hard for those podium positions.

Verstappen got a 5 place grid penalty and will start 6th.

Driver Qualifying Prediction Actual Qualifying Result Race Prediction Actual Race Result
Verstappen 1 6 1 1
Perez 10 2 2 2
Leclerc 4 1 4 3
Hamilton 2 3 3 4
Alonso 8 9 9 5
Russell 6 8 7 6
Norris 3 7 8 7
Ocon 14 15 17 8
Stroll 11 10 10 9
Tsunoda 19 11 15 10
Gasly 16 12 11 11
Bottas 9 14 12 12
Zhou 13 17 14 13
Albon 15 16 13 14
Magnussen 18 13 16 15
Ricciardo 17 19 19 16
Sargeant 20 18 18 17
Hulkenberg 12 20 20 18
Sainz 5 4 5 R
Piastri 7 5 6 R

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