British GP 2020
F1 goes to another triple-header with two races in Silverstone and one in Barcelona. Mercedes are the indisputable leaders and do not seem to have any opponent for this season and the next one – given that the cars will remain virtually the same in 2021. Lewis won this race last year by 25 seconds to the 2nd car. Can he repeat that feat this year?
The ML model predictions are back for this GP and, as expected, Hamilton and Bottas are expected to dominate the race. Can the Force Indias, the McLarens or the Red Bulls put up a challenge to the world champions? I hardly expect that but you never know…
Kvyat and Russell got a 5-place grid penalty for an unscheduled gearbox change and for failure to respect double yellow flags respectively.
Driver | Qualifying Prediction | Actual Qualifying Result | Race Prediction | Actual Race Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verstappen | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Leclerc | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Ricciardo | 12 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
Norris | 7 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Ocon | 13 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
Gasly | 9 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
Albon | 6 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
Stroll | 5 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
Vettel | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Bottas | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
Russell | 16 | 20 | 19 | 12 |
Sainz | 8 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
Giovinazzi | 17 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Latifi | 20 | 18 | 20 | 15 |
Grosjean | 19 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
Raikkonen | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
Kvyat | 14 | 19 | 14 | R |
Magnussen | 18 | 14 | 17 | R |
Hulkenberg | 4 | 13 | 8 | R |
2 thoughts on “British GP 2020”
Hi, How does the model work? I created my own version and just wondered how yours differs. Mine can be found here
theparttimeanalyst.com/2020/07/25/pole-position-prediction-a-tidy-models-example/
Hey, I have been posting how I’ve been building the model. I haven’t completed this series of posts yet though. A big difference compared to your model is that I’m not using free practice data at all. My predictions are based on previous qualifying and race results.
I’ll definitely go through your blog posts in detail. Thanks for reaching out to me.