F1 is leaving Europe and is heading to Singapore for a Grand Prix that is expected to help the Ferraris. Red Bull will also be strong and it will sure be a 3-team race. It’s difficult to predict how the top-6 drivers will start and finish the race but the model thinks it will be…
After a very close battle between Hamilton and Vettel in Spa, F1 is heading to the temple of speed, Monza. The stronger power unit of Mercedes will play a big role here and we may end up seeing the lap record of Juan Pablo Montoya from 2004 being broken.
After a probably too long summer break, F1 returns to Spa circuit in Belgium. The championship leader is expected to take the pole position with the two Mercedes of Hamilton and Bottas following. The Spa-master, Kimi Raikkonen, is predicted to start 4th, however it could be a chance for him to get the pole. Sebastian…
Before the summer break, F1 heads to Budapest for the Hungarian GP. It’s a very twisty track where passing another car is notoriously difficult. The top-4 teams are expected to occupy the first four rows with just one team per row, namely Mercedes, Ferrari, Red Bull and Force India. Bottas is predicted to start ahead…
After a race to forget for Lewis, F1 returns to Silverstone. Hamilton triumphed there last year in tricky conditions and I expect him to do the same this year; at least in qualifying. Bottas is expected to close a Mercedes 1-2 while the usual suspects (Vettel, Ricciardo, Kimi and Max) will follow in the next…
Following the most unpredictable Grand Prix so far this season, F1 is heading to the Red Bull Ring in Austria. The Mercedes are expected to occupy the first row off the starting line. Will this remain till the end of the race? I doubt so. Race predictions have been updated after the qualifying.
The new modelling approach used in the Canadian GP offered accurate predictions especially for the qualifying session. Following Mercedes’ 1-2 in Canada, a Ferrari is again expected to split the Mercedes in qualifying with Hamilton having 72.4% chances of starting in front of Vettel. However, Sebastian has a slightly higher probability (56.7%) to actually win…
I’m proud to announce that the predictions for the next Grand Prix are based on an entirely new modelling approach that promises significantly improved prediction accuracy. The new approach also offers deeper insight by giving for each pair of drivers the probability of the former starting or finishing above the latter. For the upcoming qualifying…
Monaco is going to be a very tight race with Mercedes, Ferrari and (why not) Red Bull since this twisty circuit will hide the deficiencies of their Renault engine. Hamilton and Vettel are again expected to fight for the pole position while Ricciardo may qualify above the Ferrari of Kimi. Jenson Button will struggle although…
With the Spanish Grand Prix approaching, here I present the forecast for the qualifying and race results. For some not-so-clear reason, the model seems to favour Daniel Ricciardo to start 2nd with Hamilton starting as low as 4th. This could due to his crash last year with Nico Rosberg; the model might have thought that…