Canadian GP 2017 ?>

Canadian GP 2017

I’m proud to announce that the predictions for the next Grand Prix are based on an entirely new modelling approach that promises significantly improved prediction accuracy. The new approach also offers deeper insight by giving for each pair of drivers the probability of the former starting or finishing above the latter. For the upcoming qualifying session, Hamilton edges Vettel by the slightest of margins (50.3% probability of Hamilton starting in front of Vettel). Race predictions have been updated after the qualifying. Will Kimi pass Bottas for the last place on the podium?

Personally I expect Canada to be a track that favors Ferrari’s characteristics. The model seems to agree with me and predicts a second 1-2 from Ferrari in a row. I think the Force Indias will also be very strong while Alonso might already be thinking of going to IndyCar full-time next year. Let’s hope he gets a championship-winning car soon.

Driver Qualifying Prediction Actual Qualifying Result Race Prediction Actual Race Result
Hamilton 1 1 1 1
Bottas 3 3 4 2
Ricciardo 6 6 6 3
Vettel 2 2 2 4
Perez 7 8 8 5
Ocon 10 9 9 6
Raikkonen 4 4 3 7
Hulkenberg 9 10 12 8
Stroll 15 17 18 9
Grosjean 13 14 13 10
Palmer 17 15 14 11
Magnussen 16 18 16 12
Ericsson 20 19 20 13
Vandoorne 19 16 17 14
Wehrlein 18 20 19 15
Alonso 14 12 15 16
Kvyat 12 11 11 R
Verstappen 5 5 5 R
Massa 11 7 7 R
Sainz 8 13 10 R
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8 thoughts on “Canadian GP 2017

      1. True! I hope I’ll find some time to write a post about how the model is performing on quali and races so far…

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