I’m proud to announce that the predictions for the next Grand Prix are based on an entirely new modelling approach that promises significantly improved prediction accuracy. The new approach also offers deeper insight by giving for each pair of drivers the probability of the former starting or finishing above the latter. For the upcoming qualifying session, Hamilton edges Vettel by the slightest of margins (50.3% probability of Hamilton starting in front of Vettel). Race predictions have been updated after the qualifying. Will Kimi pass Bottas for the last place on the podium?
Personally I expect Canada to be a track that favors Ferrari’s characteristics. The model seems to agree with me and predicts a second 1-2 from Ferrari in a row. I think the Force Indias will also be very strong while Alonso might already be thinking of going to IndyCar full-time next year. Let’s hope he gets a championship-winning car soon.
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