In dramatic fashion, Lando Norris missed his first-ever Formula 1 victory in Sochi two weeks ago. Hamilton snatched the opportunity and got ahead in the drivers standings while Verstappen finished 2nd starting from the back of the grid. This weekend, F1 heads to Istanbul – a circuit I was lucky to visit back in 2005 – a place that held an amazing race last year due to wild weather conditions. This time around, finishing out of points is not an option for any of the title contenders if they want to have realistic chances to the trophy.

The model gives Lewis a slight edge over Max in both qualifying and the race (about 53%-47%). However, Verstappen will be hungry as ever for the win and I believe he will take the victory here. It will be important to see what role the 2nd drivers of Mercedes and Red Bull play in the constructors championship. Both Bottas and Perez have lots to prove and need to deliver for their teams. Further back, Norris will soon taste the winner’s champagne while the Ferraris need to up their game to combat the McLarens in the next 7 races.

You can access the power predictions here.

Driver	Qualifying Prediction	Actual Qualifying Result	Race Prediction	Actual Race Result
Bottas	4	1	3	1
Verstappen	2	2	1	2
Perez	3	6	7	3
Leclerc	8	3	4	4
Hamilton	1	11	2	5
Gasly	11	4	6	6
Norris	5	7	8	7
Sainz	6	19	9	8
Stroll	14	8	10	9
Ocon	10	12	11	10
Giovinazzi	15	16	16	11
Raikkonen	16	17	17	12
Ricciardo	7	20	12	13
Tsunoda	17	9	13	14
Russell	12	13	15	15
Alonso	9	5	5	16
Latifi	18	15	18	17
Vettel	13	10	14	18
Schumacher	19	14	19	19
Mazepin	20	18	20	20