United States GP 2021 ?>

United States GP 2021

The championship lead has changed once more this season after Lewis’ 5th place in the Turkish GP. Max is 6 points ahead with six 6 races to go but Mercedes is in the top of the constructors title – partly due to Bottas’ victory in the last race. The upcoming race is held in the Circuit of the Americas (COTA) in Austin, Texas in a race that is predicted to be exciting. Daniel Ricciardo will also have the chance to drive Dale Earnhardt Sr’s 1984 Chevrolet Monte Carlo NASCAR car after winning a bet with McLaren CEO Zak Brown.

The model gives Verstappen a 56% chance to out-qualify Hamilton but only a 50.5% chance of actually finishing ahead in the race. The close battle in the circuit is translated to such close probabilities on the model. Further behind, I would expect the Ferraris to be strong given their recent engine upgrade.

You can access the power predictions here.

Driver Qualifying Prediction Actual Qualifying Result Race Prediction Actual Race Result
Verstappen 1 1 1 1
Hamilton 2 2 2 2
Perez 4 3 3 3
Leclerc 7 4 4 4
Ricciardo 6 6 7 5
Bottas 3 9 5 6
Sainz 8 5 6 7
Norris 5 7 8 8
Tsunoda 13 10 11 9
Vettel 14 18 13 10
Giovinazzi 16 12 16 11
Stroll 12 13 14 12
Raikkonen 18 15 15 13
Russell 15 20 17 14
Latifi 17 14 18 15
Schumacher 19 16 19 16
Mazepin 20 17 20 17
Alonso 10 19 12 R
Ocon 11 11 10 R
Gasly 9 8 9 R
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