The championship lead has changed once more this season after Lewis’ 5th place in the Turkish GP. Max is 6 points ahead with six 6 races to go but Mercedes is in the top of the constructors title – partly due to Bottas’ victory in the last race. The upcoming race is held in the Circuit of the Americas (COTA) in Austin, Texas in a race that is predicted to be exciting. Daniel Ricciardo will also have the chance to drive Dale Earnhardt Sr’s 1984 Chevrolet Monte Carlo NASCAR car after winning a bet with McLaren CEO Zak Brown.
The model gives Verstappen a 56% chance to out-qualify Hamilton but only a 50.5% chance of actually finishing ahead in the race. The close battle in the circuit is translated to such close probabilities on the model. Further behind, I would expect the Ferraris to be strong given their recent engine upgrade.
You can access the power predictions here.
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